Large-cap stocks ($10+) cascading DOWN on extreme first halts
When a $10+ stock has an extreme down halt and the next halt fires, it continues DOWN 70% of the time based on 443 historical matches.
In plain English
When a stock priced $10 or higher hits its first halt of the day with a 12%+ down gap, the move is rarely a transient fat-finger — there is usually real institutional flow or a fundamental catalyst behind it. The continuation rate is high because once large-cap selling builds momentum, it tends to persist through the next LULD trigger. The pattern is most useful for traders looking for a continuation entry on the reopen, or for risk managers measuring downside that has not yet been absorbed by the market.
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Recent historical matches
Related patterns
- Penny stocks halting 5+ times in a dayWhen a penny stock has 5+ halts in a day, another halt fires with 89% probability based on 5,951 historical matches.
- Halts firing within an hour of breaking newsWhen breaking news fires within 30 minutes of a halt, another halt is 87% likely to fire — based on 68 historical breaking-news halt matches.
- First halts with 30%+ down gapsStocks with extreme down halts (30%+ gap) continue in the same direction 70% of the time when they cascade — based on 236 historical matches.
- Tier A/B second halts and the third-halt continuationOnce a stock has had a second halt, the third halt continues in the same direction 61% of the time — calibrated edge over coinflip across 3,043 historical matches.
Aggregates recomputed nightly from the HaltPredict pattern library — currently 71,000+ historical halts. Hero pattern definitions live in pattern_groups.